Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:41:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea6e…7c46
sports · 375 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$1,308 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,313 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$897
Realized+$1,313
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses186 / 178
Est. fees paid−$599
Open positions11
Markets (closed)364 / 375
History coverage81d
Avg bet$102
Trades / day29.2
Drawdown83%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 11 History 364 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$224
14 days−$37
30 days−$2,688
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 40¢ 42¢ $105 $108 +$3 (+3%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 52¢ 52¢ $105 $104 −$1 (-1%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 55¢ 55¢ $105 $104 −$1 (-1%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 32¢ 32¢ $105 $103 −$2 (-2%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 43¢ 42¢ $105 $103 −$2 (-2%)
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) Kansas City Royals 61¢ 60¢ $70 $70 −$0 (-1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Under 54¢ 54¢ $70 $69 −$1 (-1%)
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Philadelphia Phillies 49¢ 48¢ $70 $69 −$1 (-1%)
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Los Angeles Angels 52¢ 50¢ $70 $68 −$2 (-3%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 66¢ 66¢ $63 $63 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 79¢ 78¢ $35 $34 −$1 (-2%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 47¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Miami Marlins 44¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 51¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox 43¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Canadiens 36¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 46¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 45¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies 43¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks 37¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres 51¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies 46¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 55¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 55¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies San Diego Padres 35¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $35 +$8 +23%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $107 −$2 -2%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $35 +$15 +42%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 11 $107 −$105 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $35 −$35 -99%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 11 $71 −$70 -99%
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) Jun 11 $71 −$70 -99%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $107 −$105 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $107 −$105 -99%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $107 +$160 +149%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Jun 11 $71 +$48 +67%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $107 +$170 +159%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $107 +$96 +90%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $107 +$92 +86%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 10 $107 −$105 -98%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $107 −$105 -98%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 10 $71 +$61 +86%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 10 $107 +$97 +91%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $107 +$99 +93%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $142 +$46 +33%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $107 +$96 +90%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $107 +$99 +92%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $107 −$105 -98%
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) Jun 09 $71 −$70 -99%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 09 $71 +$61 +86%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $107 +$137 +129%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $107 +$76 +71%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $107 +$91 +85%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 08 $107 −$105 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 08 $107 −$105 -98%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 07 $106 −$105 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 07 $107 +$106 +100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Jun 07 $107 +$96 +90%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $107 −$105 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 07 $107 −$105 -98%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $43 −$4 -9%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 07 $107 −$105 -98%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 06 $107 +$80 +75%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 06 $106 −$105 -99%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 06 $107 +$82 +77%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 06 $107 −$105 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 06 $128 +$128 +100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 05 $107 −$105 -98%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 04 $107 −$105 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 04 $106 +$79 +75%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 03 $107 −$105 -98%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 03 $107 −$105 -98%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 03 $106 −$105 -99%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 03 $107 +$122 +114%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 03 $107 +$136 +127%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$1,293
other 0% +$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 32¢ $21 50m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 40¢ $21 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 55¢ $27 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 52¢ $21 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 66¢ $21 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 43¢ $21 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 32¢ $21 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 39¢ $21 2h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 55¢ $27 2h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 52¢ $21 2h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 43¢ $21 2h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 66¢ $21 3h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 32¢ $21 3h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 39¢ $21 4h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 55¢ $27 4h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 52¢ $21 4h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 43¢ $21 4h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 55¢ $27 4h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 54¢ $71 5h
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 52¢ $71 5h
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) BUY Kansas City Royals 61¢ $71 5h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 49¢ $71 5h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 79¢ $35 5h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 66¢ $21 5h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 32¢ $21 5h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 42¢ $21 6h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 52¢ $21 6h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 44¢ $21 6h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 42¢ $21 6h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 32¢ $21 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-5.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 +9.5% -1.0% 52% 52% -4.4%
≤30d 165 -13.3% -21.5% 44% 44% -24.0%
≤90d 364 +4.0% -5.9% 51% 51% -6.3%
all 364 +4.0% -5.9% 51% 51% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.9% 51% -6.3%
10% ← realistic here -14.9% 51% -15.3%
15% -23.1% 49% -23.5%
20% -30.7% 46% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $897.14 · official $897.14 (match) · 2539 history records