Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T22:36:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EA 0xea7b…5b6d sports 634 markets active 12h ago coverage 221d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$12 (-0%) realized −$12 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate24%152W / 478L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day5.4pace
Fees−$100est.
Kalshi-fit72%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$49
7 days−$102
14 days−$102
30 days−$124
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 71% −$1,696
other 28% +$472
crypto 1% −$14
politics 0% −$1
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-20.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -63.2% -66.7% 9% 9% -64.6%
≤30d 25 -66.1% -69.4% 8% 8% -68.7%
≤90d 186 -19.0% -26.7% 24% 24% -14.0%
all 630 -12.0% -20.4% 24% 24% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.4% 24% -16.5%
10% -28.0% 23% -24.5%
15% -35.0% 23% -31.8%
20% -41.3% 22% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -24% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$63 vs −$23 · ×2.79 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.89 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

221d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses152 / 478
Est. fees paid−$100
Open positions0
Markets (closed)630 / 634
History coverage221d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day5.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 630 Trades
no open positions (442 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 2 South Africa? Jun 18 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 1 South Africa? Jun 18 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 18 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? Jun 18 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 1 Colombia? Jun 18 $7 −$7 -97%
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 0 Colombia? Jun 18 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Croatia? Jun 17 $5 −$5 -97%
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? Jun 17 $7 −$7 -98%
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Jun 15 $7 −$7 -98%
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $14 −$14 -98%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $17 −$17 -98%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? Jun 14 $6 +$26 +442%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $6 $0 -5%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $13 +$14 +109%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner May 22 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner May 22 $12 −$12 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 02 $19 −$19 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 02 $17 −$17 -99%
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $7 −$7 -97%
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner Apr 19 $1 +$6 +550%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Apr 19 $70 −$68 -98%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Apr 19 $60 −$59 -98%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winn Apr 19 $20 −$19 -97%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 19 $60 −$59 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 19 $10 −$10 -97%
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Apr 19 $45 −$43 -97%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 19 $70 −$69 -99%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Apr 19 $35 −$34 -98%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Apr 19 $30 −$29 -98%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18? Apr 19 $21 +$50 +238%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18? Apr 18 $23 −$23 -98%
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-18? Apr 18 $13 −$13 -98%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Apr 18 $40 +$15 +37%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Apr 18 $74 −$40 -53%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Apr 18 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Apr 18 $54 +$99 +184%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner Apr 17 $33 +$20 +61%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Apr 17 $24 −$23 -98%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner Apr 17 $3 −$3 -97%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner Apr 17 $32 −$31 -98%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 17 $53 −$52 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 2 South Africa? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 12h
Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 1 South Africa? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 12h
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 12h
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 20h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 20h
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 1 Colombia? BUY Yes 10¢ $7 20h
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 0 Colombia? BUY Yes 7¢ $5 20h
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Croatia? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 30h
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $7 30h
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? BUY Yes 19¢ $7 3d
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 21¢ $5 3d
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 29¢ $14 4d
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 21¢ $5 4d
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 28¢ $12 4d
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? SELL Yes 100¢ $32 4d
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 18¢ $6 4d
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? SELL Yes 19¢ $6 4d
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 19¢ $6 4d
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 4d
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 18¢ $10 4d
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 4d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 4d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 5d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13 BUY 16¢ $6 5d
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? AND Will Switzerland win on 202 BUY 24¢ $5 5d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 21¢ $5 5d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 12¢ $5 5d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $13 5d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States vs. Paraguay end BUY 17¢ $6 6d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY 9¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1381 history records