trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump hug anyone at UFC Freedom 250? | Yes | 50¢ | 66¢ | $10 | $13 | +$3 (+31%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 67¢ | 66¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | Jun 14 | $52 | −$22 | -42% |
| Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives i | Jun 14 | $17 | +$3 | +16% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY Down | 16¢ | $26 | 1h |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY Up | 84¢ | $25 | 1h |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | BUY Yes | 67¢ | $10 | 2h |
| Will Trump hug anyone at UFC Freedom 250? | BUY Yes | 50¢ | $10 | 2h |
| Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives i | BUY Yes | 86¢ | $17 | 39d |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -13.4% | -21.6% | 50% | 50% | -34.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -13.4% | -21.6% | 50% | 50% | -34.7% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -13.4% | -21.6% | 50% | 50% | -34.7% |
| all | 2 | -13.4% | -21.6% | 50% | 50% | -34.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.6% | 50% | -34.7% |
| 10% | -29.1% | 0% | -41.0% |
| 15% | -36.0% | 0% | -46.7% |
| 20% | -42.3% | 0% | -51.9% |