Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:36:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea80…08a4
crypto · 256 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$467 -24%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$507 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$507
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses127 / 128
Open positions0
Markets (closed)255 / 256
History coverage149d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day3.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 255 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$28
14 days−$37
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6AM ET Jun 09 $13 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6AM ET Jun 08 $8 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3AM ET Jun 07 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2AM ET Jun 07 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3PM ET Jun 06 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2PM ET Jun 06 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9AM ET Jun 06 $12 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8AM ET Jun 06 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5AM ET Jun 06 $8 +$5 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET Jun 05 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8PM ET Jun 05 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7PM ET Jun 05 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3PM ET Jun 04 $6 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2PM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$506
world 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $4 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-22.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -26.4% -33.4% 47% 44% -35.6%
≤30d 118 -9.0% -17.7% 66% 53% -15.9%
≤90d 142 -11.8% -20.2% 60% 49% -19.6%
all 255 -14.8% -22.9% 50% 42% -33.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.9% 42% -33.2%
10% -30.3% 29% -39.6%
15% -37.0% 27% -45.4%
20% -43.2% 25% -50.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 536 history records