Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:08:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea83…ef1d
sports · 112 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$525 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$524 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$166
Realized−$524
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses29 / 81
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions2
Markets (closed)110 / 112
History coverage247d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 2 History 110 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$91
7 days−$109
14 days−$109
30 days−$109
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score No 55¢ 55¢ $81 $80 −$1 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Yes 46¢ 46¢ $68 $67 −$1 (-1%)
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: Both Teams to Score Yes 58¢ 57¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-2%)
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: Both Teams to Score No 43¢ 43¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+0%)
PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara vs. FK Dinamo Makhachkala: O/U 2.5 Over 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bristol City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5 Over 56¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18? Yes 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
FK Epitsentr Dunaivtsi vs. FK Kolos Kovalivka: O/U 2.5 Under 60¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Karlsruher SC vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: Both Teams to Score No 40¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
SS Lazio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5 Under 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5 Under 56¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Angers SCO vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Score Yes 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5 Under 56¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Hornets vs. Celtics Celtics 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-07? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5 Under 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to Score No 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
US Lecce vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Score No 53¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Over 43¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14? Yes 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $178 −$75 -42%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $186 −$8 -4%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $163 −$5 -3%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $93 −$3 -3%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $112 −$18 -16%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18? Apr 18 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19? Mar 20 $1 +$1 +72%
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5 Mar 20 $78 −$1 -2%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18? Mar 19 $1 $0 +41%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? Mar 19 $1 +$1 +59%
SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Score Mar 19 $81 −$1 -1%
Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5 Mar 18 $19 $0 -2%
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score Mar 18 $67 $0 -0%
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17? Mar 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5 Mar 16 $12 $0 -2%
FC Metz vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score Mar 16 $39 −$1 -3%
RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score Mar 16 $40 $0 -1%
Real Oviedo vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score Mar 15 $80 −$2 -2%
Angers SCO vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Score Mar 14 $12 −$6 -51%
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14? Mar 14 $1 +$1 +52%
Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to Score Mar 14 $16 −$5 -31%
Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to Score Mar 14 $39 −$20 -51%
Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 Mar 14 $43 −$22 -51%
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5 Mar 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14? Mar 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to Score Mar 14 $21 $0 -1%
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5 Mar 14 $35 $0 -1%
Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5 Mar 14 $39 −$1 -1%
KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5 Mar 13 $42 −$2 -5%
SK Sigma Olomouc vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5 Mar 13 $62 −$6 -9%
AZ vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 2.5 Mar 12 $22 −$10 -46%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12? Mar 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 Mar 12 $2 +$2 +70%
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11? Mar 12 $6 +$9 +156%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 Mar 12 $35 $0 -1%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 Mar 12 $49 −$3 -6%
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 Mar 11 $3 +$3 +89%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 Mar 11 $46 −$1 -3%
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5 Mar 11 $49 +$1 +2%
West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5 Mar 10 $58 −$2 -4%
FK Spartak Moskva vs. FK Akron Tolyatti: Both Teams to Score Mar 09 $20 −$1 -4%
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5 Mar 09 $26 $0 +0%
Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 2.5 Mar 09 $72 $0 -0%
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5 Mar 09 $43 $0 -1%
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score Mar 09 $59 $0 -1%
OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5 Mar 08 $41 −$17 -42%
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5 Mar 08 $21 −$10 -48%
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5 Mar 08 $44 −$24 -54%
PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara vs. FK Dinamo Makhachkala: O/U 2.5 Mar 08 $9 −$3 -32%
Karlsruher SC vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: Both Teams to Score Mar 08 $39 −$15 -40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$500
other 2% −$9
crypto 1% −$17
world 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: Both Teams to Score BUY No 43¢ $8 1h
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 58¢ $11 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $69 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 55¢ $82 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $172 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $101 18h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $76 18h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 22¢ $40 20h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY No 79¢ $146 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY No 63¢ $101 37h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $62 37h
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $1 47h
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $47 47h
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $46 47h
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to Score BUY No 23¢ $61 2d
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 53¢ $51 2d
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18? BUY Yes 69¢ $1 55d
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19? BUY Yes 58¢ $1 85d
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 50¢ $38 85d
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $40 85d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 86d
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18? BUY Yes 71¢ $1 86d
SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $40 86d
SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $41 86d
Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $9 87d
Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $10 87d
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score BUY No 41¢ $27 87d
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 60¢ $40 87d
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 87d
Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 52¢ $6 89d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-31.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -25.3% -32.4% 0% 0% -25.1%
≤30d 5 -25.3% -32.4% 0% 0% -25.1%
≤90d 18 -9.3% -17.9% 17% 17% -19.4%
all 110 -24.1% -31.3% 26% 19% -29.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.3% 19% -29.3%
10% -37.9% 15% -36.0%
15% -43.9% 15% -42.2%
20% -49.4% 14% -47.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $166.04 · official $166.04 (match) · 292 history records