Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T14:26:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EA 0xea84…e6dd crypto 95 markets active 1h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (64 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$93 (-2%) realized −$93 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate95%90W / 5L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$65per market
Trades / day63.8pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 91% −$120
sports 8% +$18
other 1% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (64 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 95 -1.9% -11.3% 95% 6% -11.0%
≤30d 95 -1.9% -11.3% 95% 6% -11.0%
≤90d 95 -1.9% -11.3% 95% 6% -11.0%
all 95 -1.9% -11.3% 95% 6% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover63.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 6% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 1% -19.5%
15% -27.5% 0% -27.3%
20% -34.6% 0% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
92% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$55 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.64 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$93
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses90 / 5
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)95 / 95
History coverage4d
Avg bet$65
Trades / day63.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 95 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 26 $75 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 26 $70 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 26 $70 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 26 $65 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 26 $65 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 26 $60 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 26 $55 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 26 $55 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 26 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 26 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 26 $45 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 26 $40 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 26 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 26 $81 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 26 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 26 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 26 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 26 $78 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 26 $77 +$1 +1%
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 25 $68 +$8 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 25 $67 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 25 $66 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 25 $52 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 25 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 25 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 24 $56 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 24 $55 +$1 +2%
Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 24 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 24 $53 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 24 $53 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 24 $52 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 24 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 24 $51 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 24 $50 +$1 +1%
Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 24 $105 +$1 +1%
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 23 $103 +$2 +2%
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 23 $102 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 23 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 23 $80 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 23 $65 +$6 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 23 $65 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 23 $60 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 23 $51 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 23 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 23 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 23 $41 +$10 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 23 $35 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 23 $30 +$5 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $82 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $75 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $73 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $70 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $70 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $70 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $65 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $65 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $65 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $55 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $56 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $55 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 359 history records