trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 14 | $22 | −$19 | -90% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 14 | $21 | −$15 | -70% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | Jun 10 | $5 | +$1 | +11% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | Jun 10 | $5 | +$1 | +14% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | Jun 10 | $5 | +$3 | +68% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | SELL Yes | 1¢ | $2 | 1h |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL No | 2¢ | $6 | 1h |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | BUY Yes | 6¢ | $22 | 3d |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | SELL Down | 99¢ | $6 | 3d |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY Down | 88¢ | $5 | 3d |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY Down | 87¢ | $5 | 3d |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY Up | 58¢ | $5 | 3d |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY No | 6¢ | $21 | 3d |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -13.6% | -21.9% | 60% | 60% | -55.7% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -13.6% | -21.9% | 60% | 60% | -55.7% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -13.6% | -21.9% | 60% | 60% | -55.7% |
| all | 5 | -13.6% | -21.9% | 60% | 60% | -55.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.9% | 60% | -55.7% |
| 10% | -29.3% | 20% | -60.0% |
| 15% | -36.2% | 20% | -63.8% |
| 20% | -42.4% | 20% | -67.4% |