Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:35:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea8d…a8ef
sports · 370 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5,818 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,814 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$191
Realized−$5,814
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses228 / 134
Whale WR (big bets)44%
Est. fees paid−$306
Open positions8
Markets (closed)362 / 370
History coverage67d
Avg bet$84
Trades / day18.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 8 History 362 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$260
7 days−$402
14 days−$580
30 days−$3,278
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 44¢ 42¢ $44 $42 −$2 (-3%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? No 34¢ 34¢ $34 $33 −$0 (-1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 94¢ 94¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? No 91¢ 90¢ $20 $19 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 90¢ 89¢ $20 $19 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: United States (-2.5) Paraguay 93¢ 92¢ $20 $19 −$0 (-2%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? No 90¢ 88¢ $20 $19 −$0 (-2%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? No 93¢ 88¢ $20 $18 −$1 (-6%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Miami Marlins 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets New York Yankees 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 23¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Under 54¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5 Under 26¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Cattolica: Michele Ribecai vs Franco Agamenone Michele Ribecai 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners 38¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5? Yes 90¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs fnatic 99¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1? Yes 94¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Over 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage Nightblood Gaming 29¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) New York Yankees 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $56 +$144 +254%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $38 −$16 -44%
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor prima Jun 12 $39 +$4 +11%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $20 +$2 +12%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $26 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $20 +$2 +11%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $20 +$2 +11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $20 +$30 +150%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $20 +$2 +8%
Israel closes its airspace by June 11? Jun 12 $20 +$1 +5%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $18 +$32 +172%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $20 +$1 +7%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $40 +$4 +10%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $21 −$20 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $108 −$10 -9%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $39 +$4 +11%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $253 −$248 -98%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $46 −$46 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $82 +$6 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 +$1 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $39 +$4 +9%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $102 −$100 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 11 $51 +$10 +19%
Israel closes its airspace by June 10? Jun 11 $20 +$2 +8%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10? Jun 11 $20 +$2 +12%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $20 +$4 +20%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $20 +$1 +6%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $123 +$207 +168%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $42 −$41 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $102 −$100 -98%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $69 +$62 +89%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $102 +$98 +97%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $20 +$1 +4%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $226 −$225 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $59 +$7 +12%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $47 −$46 -98%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $19 +$2 +8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $20 +$2 +10%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 10 $101 +$41 +40%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $20 +$3 +17%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $44 +$4 +10%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $58 −$57 -98%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $700 +$97 +14%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $102 +$105 +102%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 10 $34 +$62 +183%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $223 −$95 -43%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $51 −$38 -74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% −$3,999
crypto 16% −$1,987
other 5% +$172
world 2% +$12
finance 1% −$3
politics 0% +$6
weather 0% −$20
tech 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 90¢ $20 31m
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor prima SELL Yes 98¢ $44 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $20 1h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 18¢ $18 1h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 91¢ $20 2h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 13¢ $6 2h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 2h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 13¢ $15 2h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 28¢ $37 2h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 28¢ $20 2h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 93¢ $20 3h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 89¢ $20 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 90¢ $20 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 40¢ $0 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 40¢ $20 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 40¢ $0 7h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY No 93¢ $20 8h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 92¢ $20 9h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 91¢ $20 11h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 38¢ $102 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 92¢ $20 12h
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? BUY No 93¢ $20 20h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 93¢ $20 21h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 16¢ $21 21h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 91¢ $20 21h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 27¢ $94 22h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 6¢ $6 22h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 91¢ $20 22h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 8¢ $8 23h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 9¢ $9 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 115 +12.1% +1.4% 67% 36% -16.7%
≤30d 327 +0.7% -8.9% 68% 33% -22.4%
≤90d 362 -3.4% -12.6% 63% 31% -28.9%
all 362 -3.4% -12.6% 63% 31% -28.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.6% 31% -28.9%
10% -21.0% 15% -35.7%
15% -28.6% 12% -41.9%
20% -35.6% 10% -47.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $191.28 · official $191.29 (match) · 1441 history records