Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:01:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
EA 0xea9a…963f sports 114 markets active 3d ago coverage 124d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$12 (+1%) realized +$12 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -8% what you keep after slip
Net edge-8%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate54%62W / 52L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day1.5pace
Fees−$5est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$29
14 days−$26
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -13.3% -21.6% 57% 43% -20.7%
≤30d 64 -8.8% -17.5% 52% 39% -14.6%
≤90d 99 -4.4% -13.5% 54% 40% -12.4%
all 114 +1.5% -8.2% 54% 41% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.2% 41% -11.0%
10% -17.0% 39% -19.5%
15% -25.0% 32% -27.3%
20% -32.4% 26% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
24% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +9% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.76 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

124d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses62 / 52
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)114 / 114
History coverage124d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day1.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 114 Trades
no open positions (37 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $5 +$7 +142%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $11 +$1 +11%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $50 +$15 +31%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $48 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$2 +151%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $3 +$1 +34%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $4 +$2 +41%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$7 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$1 -98%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $55 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $11 −$5 -45%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 +$1 +145%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $30 +$7 +24%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 +$2 +109%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $46 −$1 -2%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $10 +$4 +42%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $2 +$2 +90%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $2 +$3 +172%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $4 −$4 -99%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $3 +$3 +102%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $5 +$3 +62%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2 +$2 +93%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $1 +$2 +194%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner Jun 05 $40 +$3 +6%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 03 $44 +$1 +2%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 03 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuit Jun 02 $1 +$2 +188%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $1 +$4 +413%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 3 Winner May 25 $3 −$3 -99%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 25 $2 $0 +22%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 Winner May 25 $13 −$3 -23%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 24 $3 +$2 +50%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 24 $3 +$3 +93%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P May 24 $36 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 4 Winner May 24 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner May 24 $3 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 65¢ $12 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 26¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 76¢ $50 5d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 90¢ $11 5d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 31¢ $1 5d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 97¢ $48 5d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 18¢ $1 6d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 100¢ $3 6d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 98¢ $48 6d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 39¢ $1 6d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $4 6d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $6 6d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 70¢ $4 6d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 71¢ $5 6d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 40¢ $1 6d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 74¢ $3 6d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 65¢ $2 6d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 36¢ $2 6d
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 98¢ $55 6d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 100¢ $10 7d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $2 7d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 99¢ $37 7d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 78¢ $20 7d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 51¢ $5 7d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 63¢ $6 7d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 40¢ $1 7d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 83¢ $10 7d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 41¢ $1 7d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 45¢ $5 7d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 47¢ $2 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 237 history records