Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:26:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea9d…a6ff
politics · 42 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$10,554 -43%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,926 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$8,926
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses28 / 14
Whale WR (big bets)17%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)42 / 42
History coverage611d
Avg bet$590
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 0 History 42 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,628
7 days+$1,628
14 days+$1,628
30 days+$1,628
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 20¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Qatar Total Open: Sonay Kartal vs Magda Linette Kartal 66¢ 0¢ $10,507 $0 −$10,507 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$12 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1,831 +$1,640 +90%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner May 10 $102 −$100 -98%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 05 $4 $0 -0%
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? May 05 $5 $0 -2%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 05 $5 $0 -0%
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? May 05 $12 −$1 -4%
Will Udinese win the 2025–26 Serie A league? Mar 19 $1 $0 +0%
Qatar Total Open: Sonay Kartal vs Magda Linette Feb 08 $10,507 −$10,507 -100%
Maduro out in 2025? Jan 10 $16 +$1 +6%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 5 above $470? Jan 10 $262 +$154 +59%
Will the price of Solana be above $180 on November 14? Nov 25 $1 $0 +0%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? Nov 14 $5 $0 +5%
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Nov 14 $20 $0 +0%
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Oct 19 $5 $0 +0%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? Sep 20 $4 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? Aug 23 $4 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? Jul 14 $5 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? Jul 03 $20 $0 +0%
Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in scoring? Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.20ºC in February 2025? Jun 25 $15 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on February Mar 06 $15 $0 +0%
Will Chris Christie attend presidential inauguration? Feb 16 $5 $0 +2%
Will Helen McEntee be the next Prime Minister of Ireland? Feb 16 $10 $0 +0%
Will Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland? Jan 12 $5,665 −$6 -0%
Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024? Jan 09 $10 $0 +0%
Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League? Jan 09 $10 $0 -0%
Bulls vs. Cavaliers Dec 24 $90 −$90 -100%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting? Dec 24 $10 $0 +0%
Will a candidate from another party win Colorado Presidential Election Nov 16 $10 $0 +0%
Will a candidate from another party win New Jersey Presidential Electi Nov 16 $10 $0 +0%
Will a candidate from another party win Iowa Presidential Election? Nov 16 $10 $0 +0%
Will a candidate from another party win Texas US Senate Election? Nov 16 $10 $0 +0%
Will a candidate from another party win Connecticut Presidential Elect Nov 16 $10 $0 +0%
Will a candidate from another party win Missouri Presidential Election Nov 16 $10 $0 +0%
Will a candidate from another party win New Mexico Presidential Electi Nov 16 $10 $0 +0%
Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election? Nov 16 $10 $0 +0%
Will a candidate from another party win Maryland Presidential Election Nov 16 $10 $0 +0%
Will another candidate win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election? Nov 06 $10 $0 +0%
Will Mark Kelly be D-nom for VP on Election Day? Oct 11 $1,997 −$2 -0%
2024 Balance of Power: Other Oct 11 $1,999 −$2 -0%
Will RC Celta de Vigo win La Liga? Oct 11 $2,001 −$2 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 51% −$10,699
politics 32% −$7
other 8% −$1
crypto 8% +$1,628
tech 1% +$154
weather 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1,831 2h
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner BUY JD Gaming 20¢ $102 34d
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 40d
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $4 40d
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? SELL No 91¢ $5 40d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 95¢ $5 40d
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? SELL No 51¢ $11 40d
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? BUY No 93¢ $5 58d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 95¢ $5 87d
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? BUY No 52¢ $12 115d
Qatar Total Open: Sonay Kartal vs Magda Linette BUY Kartal 66¢ $10,507 125d
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 5 above $470? BUY Yes 63¢ $262 158d
Maduro out in 2025? BUY No 94¢ $16 180d
Will Udinese win the 2025–26 Serie A league? BUY No 100¢ $1 201d
Will the price of Solana be above $180 on November 14? BUY No 100¢ $1 211d
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? BUY Yes 95¢ $5 238d
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? BUY No 100¢ $4 295d
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? BUY Up 100¢ $4 334d
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL No 100¢ $4 334d
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11? BUY Up 100¢ $5 337d
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL No 100¢ $5 337d
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? BUY No 100¢ $20 344d
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? BUY No 100¢ $20 353d
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.20ºC in February 2025? BUY No 100¢ $15 465d
Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on February BUY No 100¢ $15 482d
Will Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland? SELL No 100¢ $5,659 517d
Will Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland? BUY No 100¢ $5,665 517d
Will Helen McEntee be the next Prime Minister of Ireland? BUY No 100¢ $10 520d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +17.2% +6.0% 50% 50% +70.0%
≤30d 2 +17.2% +6.0% 50% 50% +70.0%
≤90d 8 -9.1% -17.8% 25% 12% +60.4%
all 42 -4.7% -13.8% 67% 5% -42.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.8% 5% -42.1%
10% -22.0% 5% -47.7%
15% -29.6% 5% -52.7%
20% -36.5% 5% -57.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 89 history records