Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T21:39:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
EA 0xeaae…ec88 sports 603 markets active 2h ago coverage 572d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable sports specialistFresh edgeP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$1,031 (+3%) realized +$1,031 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +1% what you keep after slip
Net edge+1%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate44%231W / 299L
Drawdown18%max
Avg bet$55per market
Trades / day1.7pace
Fees−$175est.
Kalshi-fit70%portable
Net worth$20now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 572d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 56% +$3,976
other 32% +$1,138
crypto 4% +$547
world 4% +$49
finance 2% +$12
politics 1% −$133
tech 1% −$169
culture 0% +$38
economics 0% −$51
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+0.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 +65.6% +49.8% 52% 52% +99.5%
≤30d 115 +53.2% +38.6% 49% 48% +52.7%
≤90d 224 +23.3% +11.5% 44% 43% +24.0%
all 530 +11.3% +0.7% 44% 43% +7.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +0.7% 43% +7.3%
10% -8.9% 42% -3.0%
15% -17.7% 41% -12.4%
20% -25.8% 40% -21.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +37% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +11% · $-wt +18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +6% → late +16% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$78 vs −$43 · ×1.84 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.43 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

572d coverage
Net worth$20
Realized+$1,031
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses231 / 299
Est. fees paid−$175
Open positions1
Markets (closed)530 / 603
History coverage572d
Avg bet$55
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown18%
Kalshi-fit70%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 530 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) T1 38¢ 38¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 249 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? Jun 28 $102 +$131 +129%
Jonathan David: 1+ goals Jun 28 $20 −$20 -98%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? Jun 28 $61 −$60 -98%
Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5) Jun 28 $51 +$37 +73%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 28 $51 +$49 +97%
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $10 −$10 -98%
Spread: England (-1.5) AND Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score AND Jun 28 $70 +$182 +260%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) AND Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Jun 28 $50 +$90 +180%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) AND Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score AN Jun 28 $50 +$130 +260%
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? Jun 28 $51 −$50 -99%
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score AND Will DR Congo win on 2026-0 Jun 28 $50 +$160 +319%
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo O/U 1.5 Jun 28 $30 −$30 -98%
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 Jun 28 $101 −$31 -31%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? Jun 28 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 28 $51 −$3 -7%
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 Portugal? Jun 28 $15 −$10 -66%
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Portugal? Jun 28 $21 −$14 -68%
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 28 $203 −$134 -66%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Eu Jun 27 $51 +$33 +65%
Spread: Belgium (-1.5) AND Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score Jun 27 $50 +$105 +210%
Spread: Senegal (-1.5) AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Belg Jun 27 $52 +$117 +225%
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5 AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Jun 27 $50 +$121 +243%
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-2 Jun 27 $50 +$134 +267%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? AND Jun 27 $50 +$118 +238%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $51 +$42 +83%
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5 AND Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 AND Will Spa Jun 27 $60 −$33 -55%
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 3 Spain? Jun 27 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? Jun 26 $55 +$165 +299%
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5 AND Will United States win on 2026-06-25? Jun 26 $100 +$182 +182%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Cl Jun 26 $31 −$30 -98%
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 France? Jun 26 $15 −$15 -97%
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 France? Jun 26 $15 −$15 -97%
Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner Jun 26 $10 −$10 -97%
Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qual Jun 26 $21 −$20 -97%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? Jun 26 $20 +$18 +90%
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? Jun 26 $101 +$84 +83%
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 Australia? Jun 26 $15 −$15 -97%
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 Australia? Jun 26 $15 −$15 -97%
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winner Jun 25 $10 −$10 -98%
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Clo Jun 25 $20 −$20 -98%
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5 AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? AND Wi Jun 25 $51 +$128 +251%
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score AND Scotland vs. Brazil: O Jun 25 $102 +$250 +245%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? AND Jun 25 $31 +$88 +286%
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5 AND Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 AND W Jun 25 $26 +$144 +561%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Europe C Jun 24 $20 −$20 -98%
Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 2 Brazil? Jun 24 $21 −$20 -97%
Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 3 Brazil? Jun 24 $15 −$15 -97%
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5 Jun 24 $101 +$79 +78%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 23 $71 +$56 +79%
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Ghana? Jun 23 $21 −$20 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) BUY T1 38¢ $10 1h
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) BUY T1 38¢ $10 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? BUY Yes 43¢ $51 1h
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? BUY 22¢ $50 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? BUY 33¢ $50 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? BUY Yes 43¢ $51 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? BUY 28¢ $30 1h
Jonathan David: 1+ goals BUY Yes 36¢ $20 2h
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? BUY 29¢ $50 2h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? BUY Yes 19¢ $61 2h
Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5) SELL Yellow Submarine 100¢ $88 2h
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner BUY HULIGANI 41¢ $10 12h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $51 12h
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? BUY No 51¢ $51 18h
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo O/U 1.5 SELL Under 1¢ $1 20h
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: DR Congo O/U 1.5 BUY Under 56¢ $30 20h
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 48¢ $70 20h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 23¢ $20 20h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 8¢ $48 20h
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 68¢ $101 20h
Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5) BUY Yellow Submarine 57¢ $51 20h
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 Portugal? SELL Yes 4¢ $5 20h
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Portugal? SELL Yes 2¢ $3 20h
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Portugal? SELL Yes 2¢ $4 20h
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 36¢ $65 20h
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score AND Will Algeria win on 2026-06 BUY 3¢ $25 28h
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 49¢ $51 28h
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? AND Will Croatia vs. Ghana end BUY 4¢ $50 28h
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Eu BUY Yellow Submarine 60¢ $51 28h
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Portugal? BUY Yes 6¢ $21 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.26 · official $147.48 · 1140 history records