Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:27:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xeab1…3817
other · 47 markets active 8h ago
0.0score
−$101 -59%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$101 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized−$101
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses32 / 2
Open positions13
Markets (closed)34 / 47
History coverage136d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit30%
Chart Positions 13 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day? No 100¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 02 $11 +$2 +17%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 12 $11 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? Apr 10 $1 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 20 Apr 10 $1 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? Apr 10 $1 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? Apr 10 $1 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? Apr 10 $1 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Apr 10 $1 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Apr 10 $1 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? Apr 10 $1 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Apr 10 $1 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Apr 10 $1 $0 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Apr 10 $1 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stag Feb 28 $103 −$103 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 Feb 28 $1 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 Feb 28 $1 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026 Feb 28 $1 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 20 Feb 28 $1 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 Feb 28 $1 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 20 Feb 28 $1 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 Feb 28 $1 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 20 Feb 28 $1 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 20 Feb 28 $1 $0 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? Feb 28 $1 $0 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026 Feb 18 $1 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026 Feb 18 $1 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026 Feb 18 $1 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 20 Feb 18 $1 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 20 Feb 18 $1 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 20 Feb 18 $1 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 20 Feb 18 $1 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 20 Feb 18 $1 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 20 Feb 18 $1 $0 +1%
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for The Netherlands by F Feb 18 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 61% −$103
other 19% $0
politics 13% +$2
economics 2% $0
weather 2% $0
tech 2% $0
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $1 7h
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $1 7h
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $1 7h
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1 7h
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1 7h
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1 7h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $1 7h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY Yes 99¢ $1 7h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $1 7h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $1 7h
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $1 7h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? BUY Yes 99¢ $1 7h
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day BUY No 100¢ $1 7h
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL Yes 1¢ $4 10d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 10d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 10d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 10d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 10d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 10d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 10d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 10d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 10d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 10d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL Yes 1¢ $6 10d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 10d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 10d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 10d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 10d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 10d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 1 +16.7% +5.6% 100% 100% +5.6%
≤90d 13 +1.6% -8.0% 92% 8% -4.4%
all 34 -2.0% -11.3% 94% 3% -67.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.3% 3% -67.9%
10% -19.8% 0% -70.9%
15% -27.5% 0% -73.7%
20% -34.6% 0% -76.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.03 · official $13.03 (match) · 141 history records