trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +9.9% | -0.5% | 60% | 60% | +8.3% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +9.9% | -0.5% | 60% | 60% | +8.3% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +9.9% | -0.5% | 60% | 60% | +8.3% |
| all | 15 | +9.9% | -0.5% | 60% | 60% | +8.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -0.5% | 60% | +8.3% |
| 10% | -10.0% | 53% | -2.1% |
| 15% | -18.7% | 53% | -11.5% |
| 20% | -26.7% | 47% | -20.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Colombia | 75¢ | 98¢ | $50 | $65 | +$15 (+31%) |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 9¢ | 10¢ | $40 | $42 | +$2 (+4%) |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 36¢ | 36¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 24¢ | 10¢ | $50 | $22 | −$28 (-56%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-7%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 19¢ | $10 | $13 | +$3 (+26%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 10¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-20%) |
| DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score | No | 54¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $20 | +$17 | +83% |
| Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5 | Jun 27 | $51 | +$44 | +86% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $152 | +$110 | +72% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $51 | +$26 | +52% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 26 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 24 | $1,106 | +$161 | +15% |
| Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12? | Jun 24 | $57 | −$55 | -97% |
| Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17? | Jun 23 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $15 | +$8 | +55% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $10 | +$18 | +172% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $18 | +$13 | +73% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $5 | +$2 | +41% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombi | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |