Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T02:27:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EA 0xeaba…2a33 crypto 26 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$26 (+9%) realized +$26 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate50%13W / 13L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day58.0pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 86% −$48
sports 14% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -2.2% -11.5% 50% 46% -22.8%
≤30d 26 -2.2% -11.5% 50% 46% -22.8%
≤90d 26 -2.2% -11.5% 50% 46% -22.8%
all 26 -2.2% -11.5% 50% 46% -22.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 46% -22.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 42% -30.2%
15% -27.7% 42% -36.9%
20% -34.8% 31% -43.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 20% · top 2 37% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -15% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -15% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late +6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$10 · ×0.67 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses13 / 13
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)26 / 26
History coverage1d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day58.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 26 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -97%
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 27 $16 −$13 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 27 $15 −$11 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 27 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 27 $36 +$14 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 26 $5 +$8 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$9 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 26 $5 +$6 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 26 $5 +$4 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 26 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 26 $5 +$7 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 26 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 26 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 26 $11 −$6 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 26 $11 −$6 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 26 $16 −$6 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$12 +112%
Norway vs. France: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 26 $25 +$18 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 44m
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Corners SELL Over 10¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 1h
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 43¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 66 history records