Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T07:05:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EA 0xead3…6b21 crypto 132 markets active 7h ago coverage 14d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$2 (+0%) realized +$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR73%break-even
Win rate78%103W / 29L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day9.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$22
14 days−$6
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +73%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 -7.9% -16.7% 76% 76% -16.6%
≤30d 132 -1.2% -10.6% 78% 73% -10.3%
≤90d 132 -1.2% -10.6% 78% 73% -10.3%
all 132 -1.2% -10.6% 78% 73% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover9.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.6% 73% -10.3%
10% -19.1% 36% -18.9%
15% -26.9% 15% -26.7%
20% -34.1% 8% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -8% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$5 · ×0.27 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses103 / 29
Open positions0
Markets (closed)132 / 132
History coverage14d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day9.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 132 Trades
no open positions (28 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 236 history records