trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -13.7% | -21.9% | 50% | 50% | -1.8% |
| ≤30d | 22 | -46.5% | -51.6% | 32% | 23% | -44.4% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -46.5% | -51.6% | 32% | 23% | -44.4% |
| all | 24 | -40.8% | -46.5% | 38% | 25% | -43.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -46.5% | 25% | -43.9% |
| 10% | -51.6% | 25% | -49.3% |
| 15% | -56.3% | 21% | -54.2% |
| 20% | -60.5% | 12% | -58.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Ecuador (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $305 | −$300 | -98% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $507 | +$368 | +73% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $203 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $503 | −$500 | -99% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $102 | −$94 | -92% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $202 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $2,012 | +$155 | +8% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Jun 16 | $50 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $507 | −$500 | -99% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $609 | −$600 | -99% |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Jun 15 | $202 | +$70 | +35% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $102 | +$243 | +238% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $204 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $204 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Spread: Mexico (-2.5) | Jun 12 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $101 | +$44 | +44% |
| Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02? | Jun 07 | $21 | +$14 | +67% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 09 | $10 | +$4 | +40% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Dec 09 | $73 | +$2 | +3% |