Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:50:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xeaea…1d63
politics · 172 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$25 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses38 / 131
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)169 / 172
History coverage96d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day6.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 3 History 169 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$3
14 days−$5
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 98¢ 98¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-0%)
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No 51¢ 51¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-0%)
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 98¢ 98¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $30 −$1 -2%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $36 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $26 $0 -1%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $27 $0 -0%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $20 $0 -0%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $40 $0 -0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $41 $0 -0%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $44 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $16 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $18 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $6 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $20 $0 -0%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9PM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 +0%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $5 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $25 $0 -0%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $37 $0 -0%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele Jun 10 $13 −$1 -6%
Trump out as President before 2027? Jun 10 $17 $0 -0%
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 08 $6 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $22 $0 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 08 $42 $0 -0%
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 08 $6 $0 -0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 08 $25 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 07 $32 $0 -0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 07 $22 $0 -0%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 07 $25 $0 -0%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Jun 06 $12 $0 +0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 05 $20 $0 -0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 05 $38 $0 -0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 05 $33 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 05 $7 $0 -0%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 04 $33 $0 -0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 04 $12 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 04 $23 $0 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 04 $23 $0 -0%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 04 $17 $0 -0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Jun 04 $41 $0 +0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 04 $26 $0 -0%
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 03 $33 $0 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 03 $5 $0 -0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 03 $25 $0 -0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 03 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET Jun 03 $6 −$1 -25%
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 02 $8 $0 -0%
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 02 $9 $0 -0%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 02 $40 $0 -0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 02 $18 $0 -0%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 02 $30 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 49% −$4
other 29% −$11
crypto 10% −$9
sports 9% −$1
world 2% $0
economics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 74¢ $6 15m
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $10 1h
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $10 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 95¢ $9 2h
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 74¢ $6 3h
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $6 4h
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $6 4h
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 5h
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 5h
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $7 9h
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $7 9h
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $6 13h
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $6 13h
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $9 14h
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $9 15h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 15h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 15h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $6 15h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $6 19h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $8 19h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $8 22h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $6 22h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $6 23h
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $10 25h
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 25h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 84¢ $5 26h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 84¢ $1 26h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 84¢ $6 44h
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $5 45h
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $5 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -0.4% -9.9% 7% 0% -9.9%
≤30d 75 -0.7% -10.2% 7% 0% -9.9%
≤90d 125 -2.2% -11.5% 18% 1% -10.7%
all 169 -1.5% -10.9% 22% 1% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.9% 1% -10.5%
10% -19.4% 0% -19.1%
15% -27.2% 0% -26.9%
20% -34.4% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.99 · official $19.99 (match) · 779 history records