Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T02:54:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EA 0xeaf9…4140 crypto 365 markets active 5d ago coverage 133d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$65 (-15%) realized −$65 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -19% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate46%167W / 198L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day2.8pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$68
14 days−$68
30 days−$79
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$79
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-26.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 216 -26.2% -33.2% 37% 37% -34.0%
≤30d 354 -19.3% -27.0% 44% 41% -27.5%
≤90d 354 -19.3% -27.0% 44% 41% -27.5%
all 365 -18.8% -26.5% 46% 40% -26.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.5% 40% -26.6%
10% -33.5% 30% -33.7%
15% -40.0% 24% -40.1%
20% -45.8% 18% -45.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -20% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -19% · $-wt -19% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +11% → late -48% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.77 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.65 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

133d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$65
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses167 / 198
Open positions0
Markets (closed)365 / 365
History coverage133d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day2.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 365 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 738 history records