Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T21:13:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
EA 0xeafb…f246 crypto 2139 markets active 1h ago coverage 37d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 36d only
✗ bot/MM pace (84 trades/day) — uncopyable
Total PnL +$790 (+27%) realized +$790 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +145% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +89% what you keep after slip
Net edge+89%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate51%1060W / 1013L
Drawdown55%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day83.6pace
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$53now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$197
7 days−$111
14 days−$2
30 days+$333
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% +$505
other 7% +$41
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (84 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)+121.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 297 +135.1% +112.7% 29% 29% -47.6%
≤30d 1401 +212.9% +183.1% 53% 53% +2.8%
≤90d 2073 +145.1% +121.8% 51% 51% -0.6%
all 2073 +145.1% +121.8% 51% 51% -0.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover83.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +121.8% 51% -0.6%
10% ← realistic here +100.5% 51% -10.1%
15% +81.2% 51% -18.8%
20% +63.4% 51% -26.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +13% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +145% · $-wt +13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +28% → late +262% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$1 · ×1.21 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.26 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

37d coverage
Net worth$53
Realized+$790
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses1060 / 1013
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2073 / 2139
History coverage37d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day83.6
Drawdown55%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 2073 Trades
no open positions (489 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 29 $0 −$1 -849%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 5h
BNB Up or Down - June 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 7h
BNB Up or Down - June 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 9h
BNB Up or Down - June 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 11h
BNB Up or Down - June 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 11h
BNB Up or Down - June 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 13h
BNB Up or Down - June 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 18h
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 28h
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 29h
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 42h
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 44h
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $53.00 · official $28.21 · 3500 history records