Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T02:47:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
EB 0xeb00…85bf crypto 391 markets active 0h ago coverage 34d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$349 (-3%) realized −$370 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate91%354W / 37L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$28per market
Trades / day24.2pace
Kalshi-fit89%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$15
14 days+$15
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$352
other 2% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 116 +2.3% -7.4% 93% 2% -7.6%
≤30d 304 -0.6% -10.1% 89% 1% -9.7%
≤90d 391 -0.8% -10.3% 91% 1% -12.5%
all 391 -0.8% -10.3% 91% 1% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover24.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 1% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 0% -20.9%
15% -26.7% 0% -28.5%
20% -33.9% 0% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$16 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.36 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

34d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$370
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses354 / 37
Open positions0
Markets (closed)391 / 391
History coverage34d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day24.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 391 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$3 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1161 history records