Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:05:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xeb00…496c
crypto · 1715 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$85 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$3
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1661 / 50
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1711 / 1715
History coverage44d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day40.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 1711 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$7
14 days+$2
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026? Yes 24¢ 34¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+40%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 53¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-84%)
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? Yes 26¢ 2¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-91%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $2 +$4 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$6 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$5
sports 0% +$2
tech 0% −$2
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 282 +1.2% -8.4% 94% 7% -8.3%
≤30d 923 +0.9% -8.7% 96% 4% -9.4%
≤90d 1711 +0.6% -9.0% 97% 4% -9.5%
all 1711 +0.6% -9.0% 97% 4% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 4% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 1% -18.2%
15% -25.6% 1% -26.1%
20% -32.9% 1% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.72 · official $2.73 (match) · 3500 history records