Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T18:38:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EB 0xeb04…c972 crypto 1030 markets active 1h ago coverage 39d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 38d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (78 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$80 (-0%) realized −$80 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -19% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -38% what you keep after slip
Net edge-38%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate43%512W / 669L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day78.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 39d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$767
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (78 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-26.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 310 -53.1% -57.5% 26% 26% -36.2%
≤30d 755 -23.8% -31.0% 41% 41% -19.8%
≤90d 1181 -18.8% -26.5% 43% 43% -14.0%
all 1181 -18.8% -26.5% 43% 43% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover78.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.5% 43% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -33.6% 43% -22.2%
15% -40.0% 42% -29.7%
20% -45.9% 42% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -21% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -19% · $-wt -21% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -28% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$18 vs −$21 · ×0.86 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.66 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

39d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$80
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses512 / 669
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1181 / 1030
History coverage39d ⚠
Avg bet$23
Trades / day78.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1181 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 22 $1 −$20 -1814%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 22 $0 −$9 -1734%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 22 $56 −$56 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 22 $52 −$52 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$49 -979%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 22 $0 −$4 -853%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 22 $0 −$5 -980%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 22 $0 −$4 -908%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$9 -1781%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 22 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$5 -983%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$49 -2238%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 22 $1 −$24 -2402%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 22 $0 −$4 -898%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$46 -2183%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 22 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 22 $1 −$5 -948%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 22 $1 −$5 -929%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 22 $1 −$4 -745%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 22 $0 −$4 -920%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$50 -2373%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$48 -2207%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 22 $51 −$81 -158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 22 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 22 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 22 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 22 $0 −$3 -885%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 22 $2 −$53 -2413%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2AM ET Jun 22 $2 −$30 -1812%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$9 -1744%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 22 $40 −$49 -122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 22 $1 −$26 -2411%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$8 -1543%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$9 -1744%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 22 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $6 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $28 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $17 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $17 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $49 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $27 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $17 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $25 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $17 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $17 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $17 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $2 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $17 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $17 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $29 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $16 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $16 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 5PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $5 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $11 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $28 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 5PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $8 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records