trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +59.5% | +44.3% | 100% | 100% | +44.3% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -28.3% | -35.1% | 50% | 50% | -37.5% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -14.7% | -22.9% | 71% | 43% | -39.5% |
| all | 19 | -10.6% | -19.1% | 79% | 32% | -36.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.1% | 32% | -36.3% |
| 10% | -26.8% | 16% | -42.4% |
| 15% | -33.9% | 11% | -48.0% |
| 20% | -40.4% | 5% | -53.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Senegal (-2.5) | Senegal | 35¢ | 34¢ | $144 | $142 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $115 | +$68 | +60% |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics | Jun 12 | $146 | −$144 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 03 | $117 | −$115 | -99% |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | May 29 | $128 | +$35 | +27% |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A | May 22 | $123 | −$121 | -98% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | May 22 | $12 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | May 22 | $14 | +$3 | +19% |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? | May 22 | $17 | $0 | +2% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in Febru | May 22 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28? | May 22 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 13, 2026? | May 22 | $23 | +$2 | +8% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | May 22 | $28 | +$13 | +48% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | May 22 | $60 | +$11 | +18% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 18 | $36 | −$36 | -99% |
| Trump's new travel ban on Palestinians removed by January 31? | Feb 04 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | Feb 04 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | Feb 04 | $22 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 5 - January 11 be | Jan 24 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition | Jan 10 | $24 | $0 | +0% |