trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -55.2% | -59.5% | 33% | 33% | -12.0% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -23.2% | -30.5% | 33% | 33% | -7.7% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -27.7% | -34.6% | 29% | 29% | -16.0% |
| all | 12 | -54.5% | -58.8% | 17% | 17% | -26.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -58.8% | 17% | -26.8% |
| 10% | -62.8% | 17% | -33.8% |
| 15% | -66.4% | 0% | -40.2% |
| 20% | -69.7% | 0% | -46.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 70¢ | 52¢ | $30 | $22 | −$8 (-26%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $26 | +$9 | +34% |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $28 | +$9 | +32% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 08 | $102 | −$3 | -3% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 08 | $42 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 30 | $40 | −$22 | -55% |
| Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime sho | Feb 08 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Jan 30 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Jan 30 | $20 | −$12 | -60% |
| Machado wears a dress or skirt during next Trump meeting? | Jan 15 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Jan 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |