Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:57:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xeb2c…ba61
crypto · 1362 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$98 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$98 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$98
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses647 / 715
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1362 / 1362
History coverage44d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day48.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1362 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$20
14 days−$72
30 days−$70
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$7 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$4 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$3 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$6 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$7 +199%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$5 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$5 -34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$98
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 200 -3.8% -13.0% 50% 48% -7.7%
≤30d 926 -2.9% -12.2% 45% 39% -10.8%
≤90d 1362 -0.8% -10.3% 48% 42% -10.7%
all 1362 -0.8% -10.3% 48% 42% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 42% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 33% -19.2%
15% -26.7% 26% -27.0%
20% -33.9% 20% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records