Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T07:46:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
EB 0xeb36…10bb other 1086 markets active 1h ago coverage 116d
TRAPdo not copy ⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$17 (+0%) realized +$17 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate100%1082W / 4L
Drawdown48%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day9.5pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit47%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$2
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 53% +$9
sports 41% +$4
world 2% $0
crypto 1% +$2
weather 1% +$1
politics 1% $0
tech 0% $0
finance 0% $0
culture 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 +1.0% -8.6% 100% 1% -9.2%
≤30d 256 +0.6% -9.0% 100% 1% -9.2%
≤90d 913 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 1% -9.4%
all 1086 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 1% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover9.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 1% -9.3%
10% -17.9% 0% -17.9%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.6 per $1 lost it wins $2.6
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

116d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1082 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1086 / 1086
History coverage116d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day9.5
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit47%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1086 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Alexander Isak: 2+ goals + assists Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Yasin Ayari: 2+ assists Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Elias Saad: 1+ shots on target Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Will Mark Stone lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in goals? Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Rani Khedira: 4+ goals + assists Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Anis Ben Slimane: 4+ goals + assists Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Alexander Bernhardsson: 1+ goals Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Alejandro Osuna: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Jordy Caicedo: 2+ goals Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Tijjani Reijnders: 2+ goals + assists Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Koki Ogawa: 3+ shots on target Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Koki Ogawa: 4+ shots on target Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ goals + assists Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Daichi Kamada: 3+ goals + assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Keisuke Gotō: 4+ shots Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $4 $0 +0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-6.5) vs Ursa (+6.5) Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Jearl Margaritha: 2+ shots on target Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Leroy Sané: 2+ shots Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Nadiem Amiri: 1+ goals Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-6.5) vs Infinite (+6.5) Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
FK Haugesund vs. Ranheim: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Nestory Irankunda: 1+ goals + assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Zeki Çelik: 1+ goals + assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu: 2+ goals Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Will Jalen Brunson score 50+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Finals Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Will Dylan Harper record the highest scoring game of the 2026 NBA Fina Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ruben Providence: 1+ assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Johan Manzambi: 1+ shots on target Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Casemiro: 4+ goals + assists Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Will SoCal Hard Eights finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleb Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Nico Elvedi: 4+ goals + assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: FC Lahti 0 - 3 Seinajoen JK? Jun 13 $4 $0 +0%
Mauricio Magalhães: 1+ shots on target Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan? Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Game 2: Any Player Rampage? Jun 13 $0 $0 +57%
Gio Reyna: 4+ shots Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Ivan Bašić: 3+ shots Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: Sidorenko (-1.5) vs An (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Harimoto vs. Arapovic: Total Games O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Amar Dedić: 1+ goals + assists Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Ermin Mahmić: 1+ goals Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC 2 - 2 Drogheda United FC? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Galway United FC 3 - 0 Dundalk FC? Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.75 Week of June 8 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Young Ninjas (-6.5) vs against All authority (+ Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Alexander Isak: 2+ goals + assists BUY Yes 100¢ $5 1h
Yasin Ayari: 2+ assists BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Elias Saad: 1+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Rani Khedira: 4+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Anis Ben Slimane: 4+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Alexander Bernhardsson: 1+ goals BUY No 100¢ $5 3h
Will Mark Stone lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in goals? BUY No 100¢ $5 4h
Alejandro Osuna: Home Runs O/U 1.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 5h
Jordy Caicedo: 2+ goals BUY No 100¢ $5 6h
Tijjani Reijnders: 2+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 7h
Koki Ogawa: 4+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 7h
Keito Nakamura: 1+ goals + assists BUY Yes 100¢ $5 7h
Koki Ogawa: 3+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 7h
Daichi Kamada: 3+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 9h
Keisuke Gotō: 4+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 9h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 BUY Over 100¢ $4 9h
Jearl Margaritha: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 10h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-6.5) vs Ursa (+6.5) BUY Ursa 100¢ $5 11h
Leroy Sané: 2+ shots BUY Yes 100¢ $5 12h
Nadiem Amiri: 1+ goals BUY No 100¢ $5 12h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 14h
FK Haugesund vs. Ranheim: Draw at halftime? BUY No 100¢ $5 15h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-6.5) vs Infinite (+6.5) BUY Infinite 100¢ $5 15h
Nestory Irankunda: 1+ goals + assists BUY Yes 100¢ $5 23h
Zeki Çelik: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 25h
Ferdi Kadıoğlu: 2+ goals BUY No 100¢ $5 25h
Will Jalen Brunson score 50+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Finals BUY No 98¢ $5 28h
Will Dylan Harper record the highest scoring game of the 2026 NBA Fina BUY No 99¢ $5 28h
Ruben Providence: 1+ assists BUY No 100¢ $5 28h
Casemiro: 4+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2464 history records