Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T04:45:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EB 0xeb41…0cf0 crypto 30 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (60 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$398 (-10%) realized −$398 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate40%12W / 18L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$131per market
Trades / day60.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,063
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (60 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -2.3% -11.6% 40% 40% -34.6%
≤30d 30 -2.3% -11.6% 40% 40% -34.6%
≤90d 30 -2.3% -11.6% 40% 40% -34.6%
all 30 -2.3% -11.6% 40% 40% -34.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover60.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 40% -34.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 40% -40.8%
15% -27.8% 40% -46.5%
20% -34.9% 37% -51.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 28% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -28% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -28% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -34% → late +30% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$124 vs −$142 · ×0.88 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.58 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$398
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses12 / 18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)30 / 30
History coverage1d
Avg bet$131
Trades / day60.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 30 Trades
no open positions (15 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 19 $398 −$382 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $53 +$74 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $53 +$219 +412%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 19 $311 −$303 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 19 $418 −$398 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 19 $84 −$80 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 19 $106 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 19 $192 +$126 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 19 $93 +$85 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 19 $52 +$109 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 19 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 19 $58 +$120 +208%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 19 $78 +$96 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 19 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 19 $157 +$60 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 19 $103 +$84 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 19 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 19 $192 −$185 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 19 $197 +$198 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 19 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 19 $120 −$115 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 19 $55 −$53 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 19 $271 −$258 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 19 $145 +$126 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 19 $105 −$101 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 19 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 19 $109 +$193 +176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 19 $44 −$42 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 19 $286 −$286 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $190 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $208 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $127 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $272 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $48 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $308 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $127 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $155 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $317 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $178 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $67 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $175 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $58 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $93 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 69 history records