Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:11:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xeb4d…06f5
crypto · 1422 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$479 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$472 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$472
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses1198 / 223
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1421 / 1422
History coverage21d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day109.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1421 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$108
7 days−$417
14 days−$479
30 days−$472
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $10 $3 −$7 (-67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$5 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$4 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$479
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $9 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $11 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $9 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $21 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $8 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $0 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $10 29m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 770 -4.2% -13.3% 77% 1% -11.4%
≤30d 1421 -2.3% -11.6% 84% 2% -10.5%
≤90d 1421 -2.3% -11.6% 84% 2% -10.5%
all 1421 -2.3% -11.6% 84% 2% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover109.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 2% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 0% -19.1%
15% -27.8% 0% -26.9%
20% -34.8% 0% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.26 · official $406.99 · 3500 history records