Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T19:50:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
EB 0xeb56…bf13 crypto 2065 markets active 1h ago coverage 45d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$291 (-6%) realized −$291 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate50%982W / 983L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day46.3pace
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days+$7
14 days+$119
30 days−$86
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% −$238
other 6% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 +3.9% -6.0% 52% 52% -4.4%
≤30d 676 +5.0% -5.0% 52% 52% -15.0%
≤90d 1965 +0.6% -9.0% 50% 50% -15.0%
all 1965 +0.6% -9.0% 50% 50% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover46.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 50% -15.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 50% -23.2%
15% -25.6% 50% -30.6%
20% -32.9% 50% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×0.89 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.89 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

45d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$291
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses982 / 983
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1965 / 2065
History coverage45d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day46.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1965 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$2 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$2 +114%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$2 +119%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$2 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$2 +93%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +97%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +97%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +101%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +114%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +101%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +129%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +110%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 14h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 29h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 29h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 34h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 47h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3063 history records