Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:00:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xeb64…4db9
sports · 1018 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$419 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$444 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Net worth$16
Realized−$444
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses506 / 508
Est. fees paid−$48
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1014 / 1018
History coverage659d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 2 History 1014 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$13
14 days+$9
30 days−$112
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Gen.G 57¢ 100¢ $6 $11 +$5 (+75%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 62¢ 52¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-15%)
LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner Team Heretics $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming 64¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04? Yes 42¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? No 20¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A GamerLegion 43¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 45¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 DN SOOPers 45¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? No 40¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 40¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner Tundra Esports 41¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B LYON 17¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5 Under 53¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster Challengers 61¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BNK FEARX 42¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 12¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final? No 46¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Weibo Gaming 65¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 29¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports Challengers 41¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) Nuggets 75¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming 52¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 66¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 47¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $8 +$3 +38%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $9 +$2 +23%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $12 −$1 -6%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$3 +33%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $10 +$7 +69%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$4 +146%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 +$4 +134%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $6 +$5 +79%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $7 −$7 -99%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $6 +$4 +55%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $8 +$4 +46%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $6 +$4 +70%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $6 +$4 +54%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $6 −$6 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $7 −$7 -99%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $7 +$3 +43%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $6 +$3 +54%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $13 −$8 -61%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $6 −$6 -99%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $7 +$3 +53%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $11 +$3 +29%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $6 +$3 +54%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $5 +$5 +89%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $6 −$6 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $7 +$3 +52%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $11 −$11 -98%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 06 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 06 $15 +$6 +42%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $5 −$4 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $4 −$4 -99%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $6 +$4 +66%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 06 $6 −$6 -99%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 06 $18 −$8 -43%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $1 +$9 +596%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $9 +$4 +43%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $6 +$3 +46%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $5 +$5 +90%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $7 +$3 +43%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $6 +$4 +76%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 79% −$407
other 17% −$38
crypto 2% −$5
weather 1% +$5
world 1% +$6
politics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 62¢ $7 29m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 57¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 72¢ $8 15h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $11 15h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 71¢ $7 17h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 17¢ $2 18h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 52¢ $5 19h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 81¢ $9 19h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 44¢ $4 20h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $13 21h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Team WE $2 22h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 75¢ $10 23h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 BUY 26¢ $5 31h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 BUY 26¢ $4 42h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 66¢ $6 46h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $5 47h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $4 47h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 40¢ $3 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $3 2d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $11 5d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anyones Legend 67¢ $7 5d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 55¢ $6 5d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 64¢ $6 6d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner SELL G2 Esports 100¢ $10 6d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner BUY G2 Esports 58¢ $6 6d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL G2 Esports 100¢ $10 6d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner BUY G2 Esports 60¢ $6 6d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Yandex 67¢ $7 6d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Yandex 100¢ $10 6d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 Esports 64¢ $6 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 +3.9% -6.0% 62% 62% -3.5%
≤30d 308 -3.8% -13.0% 53% 52% -14.4%
≤90d 698 -10.5% -19.0% 50% 50% -16.5%
all 1014 -6.7% -15.6% 50% 50% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.6% 50% -15.9%
10% -23.7% 48% -23.9%
15% -31.0% 42% -31.3%
20% -37.8% 31% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.45 · official $16.45 (match) · 1724 history records