Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T10:30:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
EB 0xeb6a…185a crypto 60 markets active 2h ago coverage 23d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$83 (+10%) realized +$83 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate47%28W / 32L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day3.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$53
7 days−$37
14 days−$13
30 days+$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -12.2% -20.5% 45% 45% -16.3%
≤30d 60 -4.3% -13.4% 47% 47% -5.7%
≤90d 60 -4.3% -13.4% 47% 47% -5.7%
all 60 -4.3% -13.4% 47% 47% -5.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.4% 47% -5.7%
10% -21.7% 43% -14.8%
15% -29.3% 43% -23.0%
20% -36.2% 43% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt +4% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$10 · ×1.26 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.1 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$83
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses28 / 32
Open positions0
Markets (closed)60 / 60
History coverage23d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day3.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 60 Trades
no open positions (27 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 26 $31 −$30 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 26 $31 +$28 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 26 $31 +$28 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 25 $21 +$17 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 25 $21 −$20 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 25 $21 +$19 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 25 $35 −$34 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 25 $21 −$20 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 25 $21 +$15 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 25 $21 −$20 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 25 $21 +$19 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 25 $35 −$1 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 25 $18 −$17 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 25 $10 +$8 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 25 $18 −$17 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 24 $18 +$15 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$8 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$9 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 24 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 24 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 24 $10 +$9 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 24 $18 −$1 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$11 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 22 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$13 +120%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$19 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$7 +134%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$36 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $43 +$36 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$20 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 10 $21 +$17 +80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$4 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$9 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 09 $23 −$3 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $31 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $31 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $31 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $21 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $21 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $35 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $21 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $21 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $19 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $8 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $2 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $35 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $18 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $18 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $18 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 47h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $17 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 99 history records