Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:02:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xeb6c…f62c
other · 9 markets active 5h ago
2.0score
−$9 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses3 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)7 / 9
History coverage19d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit56%
Chart Positions 2 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire Ray J 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27? May 28 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? May 26 $6 −$1 -9%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 26 $1 +$2 +216%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? May 26 $4 +$3 +82%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET May 24 $5 −$5 -94%
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire May 24 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 33% +$3
weather 28% −$8
crypto 18% −$5
other 14% +$3
sports 7% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+4.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 7 +15.3% +4.4% 43% 43% -40.0%
≤90d 7 +15.3% +4.4% 43% 43% -40.0%
all 7 +15.3% +4.4% 43% 43% -40.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +4.4% 43% -40.0%
10% -5.6% 43% -45.8%
15% -14.7% 43% -51.0%
20% -23.1% 43% -55.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.97 · official $1.97 (match) · 16 history records