trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -26.5% | -33.5% | 22% | 22% | -47.3% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -30.1% | -36.7% | 24% | 24% | -55.0% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -30.1% | -36.7% | 24% | 24% | -55.0% |
| all | 21 | -30.1% | -36.7% | 24% | 24% | -55.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -36.7% | 24% | -55.0% |
| 10% | -42.8% | 24% | -59.3% |
| 15% | -48.3% | 24% | -63.2% |
| 20% | -53.4% | 19% | -66.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Yes | 14¢ | 16¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+18%) |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | Yes | 70¢ | 64¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-9%) |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Jun 19 | $10 | +$18 | +183% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | Jun 19 | $5 | +$5 | +110% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$14 | +134% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 17 | $58 | −$48 | -83% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$17 | +339% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $11 | −$11 | -99% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $15 | −$3 | -22% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $4 | −$4 | -97% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $4 | −$4 | -97% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 14 | $12 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | Jun 14 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Will anyone say "God" during Rick and Morty E4 S9? | Jun 12 | $16 | −$15 | -96% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 08 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | Jun 08 | $5 | +$2 | +46% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Jun 08 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |