Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T17:08:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EB 0xeb6f…5597 crypto 391 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 2d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1111 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$7,304 (-23%) realized −$7,304 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -38% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -52% what you keep after slip
Net edge-52%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate33%199W / 398L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$80per market
Trades / day1111.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$873
other 0% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1111 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-43.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 597 -37.8% -43.7% 33% 30% -35.1%
≤30d 597 -37.8% -43.7% 33% 30% -35.1%
≤90d 597 -37.8% -43.7% 33% 30% -35.1%
all 597 -37.8% -43.7% 33% 30% -35.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1111.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -43.7% 30% -35.1%
10% ← realistic here -49.1% 26% -41.3%
15% -54.0% 20% -47.0%
20% -58.5% 13% -52.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -28% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -38% · $-wt -28% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -69% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
8.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$36 vs −$48 · ×0.75 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.37 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$7,304
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses199 / 398
Open positions0
Markets (closed)597 / 391
History coverage3d ⚠
Avg bet$80
Trades / day1111.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 597 Trades
no open positions (289 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 25 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 25 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 25 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 25 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 25 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 25 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 25 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 25 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 25 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 25 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 25 $148 −$148 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 25 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 25 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 25 $163 −$163 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 25 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 25 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 25 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 25 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 25 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 25 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 25 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 25 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 25 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 25 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 25 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 25 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 25 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 25 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 25 $213 −$213 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 25 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 25 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 25 $207 −$207 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 25 $122 −$122 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 25 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 25 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 25 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 25 $556 −$556 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 25 $192 −$192 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 25 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 25 $16 −$16 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $13 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $11 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $13 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $20 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $25 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $15 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $11 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $14 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $27 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $27 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $9 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $12 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $17 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $7 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $9 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $16 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $6 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $6 30m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records