Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T05:46:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.0
score
EB 0xeb73…7add crypto 6 markets active 1h ago coverage 119d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$5 (+2%) realized +$5 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -7% what you keep after slip
Net edge-7%after slip
Net WR17%break-even
Win rate33%2W / 4L
Drawdown4%max
Avg bet$46per market
Trades / day0.1pace
Kalshi-fit67%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 43% +$5
other 32% $0
sports 25% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 2 +8.5% -1.8% 50% 50% -1.8%
≤90d 3 +5.6% -4.5% 33% 33% -4.5%
all 6 +2.8% -7.0% 33% 17% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.0% 17% -7.9%
10% -15.9% 0% -16.7%
15% -24.0% 0% -24.8%
20% -31.5% 0% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 98% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% too few recent
Fragile wins
50% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$0 · ×34.78 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×17.39 per $1 lost it wins $17.39
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

119d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses2 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage119d
Avg bet$46
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit67%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 6 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? Jun 21 $29 $0 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 19? May 26 $29 +$5 +17%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? May 17 $30 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? Mar 03 $69 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 24? Feb 25 $60 $0 +0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Feb 22 $58 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $29 31m
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $29 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 19? BUY Yes 84¢ $29 34d
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $30 34d
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $30 34d
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 99¢ $69 109d
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 99¢ $69 109d
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 24? BUY No 100¢ $60 116d
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $58 118d
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $58 118d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 12 history records