Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:13:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xeb86…ec74
crypto · 1778 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$182 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$182 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$182
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1646 / 184
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1830 / 1778
History coverage28d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day64.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1830 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$239
7 days−$274
14 days−$351
30 days−$182
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$83
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $11 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $11 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $11 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $11 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $12 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $11 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $11 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $11 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $11 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $11 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $11 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 503 -10.5% -19.0% 82% 24% -14.3%
≤30d 1830 -2.8% -12.0% 90% 20% -10.4%
≤90d 1830 -2.8% -12.0% 90% 20% -10.4%
all 1830 -2.8% -12.0% 90% 20% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 20% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 3% -18.9%
15% -28.1% 1% -26.8%
20% -35.2% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.25 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records