Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:49:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xeb8c…2cfa
crypto · 890 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$34 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$49 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$49
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses476 / 414
Open positions0
Markets (closed)890 / 890
History coverage31d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day37.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 890 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$28
14 days−$26
30 days−$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +35%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$49
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 458 -4.0% -13.2% 67% 63% -11.4%
≤30d 889 -4.2% -13.3% 54% 52% -11.7%
≤90d 890 -4.3% -13.4% 53% 52% -11.7%
all 890 -4.3% -13.4% 53% 52% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 52% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.7% 43% -20.2%
15% -29.2% 32% -27.9%
20% -36.2% 22% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1672 history records