Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:54:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xeb94…205e
crypto · 566 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$267 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$268 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$268
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses301 / 264
Open positions1
Markets (closed)565 / 566
History coverage3d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day928.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 565 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$578
7 days+$268
14 days+$268
30 days+$268
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 57¢ 48¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$32 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$9 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$11 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$16 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $46 −$16 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$9 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$6 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$7 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$11 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$13 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$11 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$8 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$9 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$12 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$6 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$8 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$16 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$4 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$12 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$13 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $74 −$71 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$17 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$12 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$7 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$7 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$28 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$68 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $70 −$69 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$4 -21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$267
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $6 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $6 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $6 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 23m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-5.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 565 +4.5% -5.4% 53% 50% -7.5%
≤30d 565 +4.5% -5.4% 53% 50% -7.5%
≤90d 565 +4.5% -5.4% 53% 50% -7.5%
all 565 +4.5% -5.4% 53% 50% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover928.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.4% 50% -7.5%
10% ← realistic here -14.5% 45% -16.4%
15% -22.7% 40% -24.5%
20% -30.3% 32% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.75 · official $5.75 (match) · 3500 history records