Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T03:15:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
EB 0xeba2…5570 crypto 42 markets active 0h ago coverage 132d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$48 (+3%) realized +$48 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +3% what you keep after slip
Net edge+3%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate38%16W / 26L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$33per market
Trades / day1.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$230
7 days−$230
14 days−$230
30 days−$230
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$172
sports 1% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+3.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 +12.9% +2.1% 34% 34% -29.4%
≤30d 29 +12.9% +2.1% 34% 34% -29.4%
≤90d 29 +12.9% +2.1% 34% 34% -29.4%
all 42 +14.2% +3.4% 38% 38% -21.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.4% 38% -21.6%
10% -6.5% 38% -29.1%
15% -15.6% 36% -35.9%
20% -23.8% 36% -42.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 28% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -22% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +14% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +55% → late -26% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$44 vs −$34 · ×1.29 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

132d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$48
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses16 / 26
Open positions0
Markets (closed)42 / 42
History coverage132d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 42 Trades
no open positions (10 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 25 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 25 $46 −$44 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 25 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 25 $75 −$73 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 25 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 25 $78 −$55 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 25 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 25 $52 +$61 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 25 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 25 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 25 $62 +$71 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 25 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 25 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 25 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 25 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$52 +262%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 25 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 25 $11 +$31 +295%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 25 $15 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 25 $31 +$38 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 25 $10 +$16 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 25 $26 +$8 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 24 $32 +$126 +397%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 24 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 24 $21 +$65 +310%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 24 $31 +$34 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 24 $16 −$15 -95%
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1) Feb 15 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Feb 13 $11 +$29 +268%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Feb 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Feb 13 $20 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Feb 13 $20 +$50 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Feb 13 $20 −$17 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Feb 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Feb 13 $27 +$40 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Feb 13 $40 −$40 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Feb 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Feb 13 $44 +$27 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Feb 13 $50 +$44 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Feb 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $42 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $52 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $10 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $10 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $10 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $10 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $11 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $11 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $11 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $23 49m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 174 history records