trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 4% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 27 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 4% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats | Jun 25 | $74 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? | Jun 25 | $1,096 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of | Jun 25 | $1,051 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $1,057 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | May 14 | $46 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | May 14 | $31 | $0 | -0% |
| Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | May 14 | $54 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 14 | $53 | $0 | -0% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 13 | $905 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 13 | $901 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | May 13 | $47 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 13 | $919 | −$4 | -0% |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 13 | $963 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | May 13 | $910 | −$2 | -0% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | May 12 | $14 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 12 | $43 | $0 | -0% |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 12 | $1,008 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | May 12 | $918 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the mos | Apr 04 | $154 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Brighton finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier Leagu | Apr 04 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? | Apr 04 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 01 | $140 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 01 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 01 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in April 2026? | Mar 27 | $136 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 27 | $60 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Solana dip to $30 in March? | Mar 27 | $29 | $0 | -0% |