Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:11:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EB 0xebae…f7b1 crypto 88 markets active 3d ago coverage 24d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$396 (-3%) realized −$396 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR55%break-even
Win rate59%52W / 36L
Whale WR88%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$165per market
Trades / day11.2pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$482
14 days−$508
30 days−$802
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$844
sports 1% +$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 -13.1% -21.4% 64% 62% -13.2%
≤30d 88 -4.9% -14.0% 59% 55% -14.9%
≤90d 88 -4.9% -14.0% 59% 55% -14.9%
all 88 -4.9% -14.0% 59% 55% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover11.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.0% 55% -14.9%
10% -22.2% 35% -23.1%
15% -29.7% 19% -30.5%
20% -36.6% 15% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 28% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 88% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +3% → late -13% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$59 vs −$108 · ×0.55 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

24d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$396
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses52 / 36
Whale WR (big bets)88%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)88 / 88
History coverage24d
Avg bet$165
Trades / day11.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 88 Trades
no open positions (34 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $40 −$39 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $292 −$280 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $474 −$465 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $405 −$200 -49%
France to score first vs. Senegal? Jun 16 $97 +$42 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $204 +$86 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $66 −$65 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $68 −$65 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 16 $205 +$74 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $68 −$65 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 16 $204 +$65 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $514 +$282 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $267 −$240 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 16 $82 +$45 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $102 +$22 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $203 +$35 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $313 +$413 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $361 −$300 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $204 +$46 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $102 +$24 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 16 $123 −$120 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $215 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $224 +$16 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 16 $213 −$10 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $213 +$52 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $112 +$30 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 16 $112 +$39 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $214 +$52 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 16 $112 +$16 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 16 $121 +$17 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $316 +$100 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $132 +$28 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 16 $41 −$40 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $272 +$25 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $33 +$40 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $924 −$900 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $409 −$400 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $508 +$126 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $630 +$118 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $619 +$451 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $508 +$136 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $508 +$76 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $346 +$103 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $507 +$63 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $204 +$58 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $92 −$15 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $203 +$28 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $40 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $292 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $67 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $202 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $204 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $250 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $202 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $203 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $204 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $66 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $68 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $279 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $205 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $68 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $269 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $204 3d
France to score first vs. Senegal? BUY Yes 69¢ $81 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $796 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $206 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $308 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $205 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $20 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $20 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $22 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $21 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $21 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $86 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $21 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $20 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 279 history records