Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T13:40:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EB 0xebaf…2843 crypto 354 markets active 2h ago coverage 69d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$31 (-0%) realized −$31 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate97%343W / 11L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day5.2pace
Kalshi-fit88%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$5
14 days−$51
30 days−$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 78% +$11
other 11% −$61
finance 10% +$11
tech 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -4.6% -13.7% 94% 0% -10.2%
≤30d 173 -3.0% -12.3% 95% 0% -10.7%
≤90d 354 -0.7% -10.1% 97% 0% -10.1%
all 354 -0.7% -10.1% 97% 0% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 0% -10.1%
10% -18.7% 0% -18.7%
15% -26.6% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$16 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

69d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses343 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)354 / 354
History coverage69d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day5.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 354 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 20 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 20 $50 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 20 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 20 $16 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 19 $16 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8PM ET Jun 19 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 19 $16 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $16 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down on June 17? Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $12 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $16 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 16? Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $16 $0 +1%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 15? Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $41 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $16 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $16 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $16 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $50 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 13h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 36h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 36h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 36h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $16 2d
Solana Up or Down on June 17? BUY Up 99¢ $50 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $12 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $16 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $15 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 3d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 16? BUY No 99¢ $30 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 4d
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 99¢ $50 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1824 history records