Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:55:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xebc9…1ca3
other · 29 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$478 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$477 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$426
Realized−$477
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses14 / 14
Est. fees paid−$29
Open positions1
Markets (closed)28 / 29
History coverage4d
Avg bet$266
Trades / day20.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit38%
Chart Positions 1 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$134
7 days−$477
14 days−$477
30 days−$477
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $427 $426 −$1 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $326 +$101 +31%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $270 +$54 +20%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $160 +$28 +17%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $308 +$10 +3%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $377 −$121 -32%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $91 −$5 -6%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $30 −$1 -3%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $312 +$66 +21%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $3 +$2 +67%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $226 +$89 +40%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $410 +$37 +9%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $445 −$16 -4%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $19 −$1 -4%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $78 −$40 -52%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $61 −$20 -32%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $200 −$116 -58%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $5 −$1 -11%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $327 +$56 +17%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $211 +$115 +54%
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? Jun 09 $20 +$21 +101%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $244 −$63 -26%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $739 −$570 -77%
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 −$1 -16%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $91 +$2 +2%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $15 $0 -2%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $775 +$48 +6%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $991 −$216 -22%
Will France win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $500 +$66 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 69% −$443
sports 31% −$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $427 7m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 99¢ $428 16m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 75¢ $326 58m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $325 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $2 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 82¢ $270 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 98¢ $66 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $185 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 84¢ $160 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 27¢ $20 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 54¢ $41 3h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 77¢ $52 3h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 76¢ $252 3h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 76¢ $256 4h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 56¢ $256 6h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 81¢ $377 14h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 99¢ $1 22h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 99¢ $47 22h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 83¢ $40 23h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 11¢ $2 23h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $5 23h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 78¢ $1 24h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 33¢ $36 24h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 40¢ $31 24h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 40¢ $15 24h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 65¢ $29 24h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 66¢ $30 24h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY No 59¢ $3 31h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 86¢ $251 31h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $61 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +2.0% -7.7% 50% 36% -15.5%
≤30d 28 +2.0% -7.7% 50% 36% -15.5%
≤90d 28 +2.0% -7.7% 50% 36% -15.5%
all 28 +2.0% -7.7% 50% 36% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.7% 36% -15.5%
10% ← realistic here -16.5% 18% -23.6%
15% -24.6% 14% -31.0%
20% -32.0% 11% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $425.82 · official $425.82 (match) · 100 history records