Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:24:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xebd9…f8cc
other · 6 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$4 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$5
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses3 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)4 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day11.4
Drawdown17%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 2 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-17%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $5 +$2 +45%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 69% +$1
sports 31% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 35m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 73¢ $4 37m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 32¢ $4 57m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 67¢ $4 1h
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $3 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $5 4h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $2 4h
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 24h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score SELL No 91¢ $7 24h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 96¢ $14 24h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $10 27h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY No 62¢ $5 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -3.4% -12.6% 75% 50% +13.4%
≤30d 4 -3.4% -12.6% 75% 50% +13.4%
≤90d 4 -3.4% -12.6% 75% 50% +13.4%
all 4 -3.4% -12.6% 75% 50% +13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.6% 50% +13.4%
10% -21.0% 50% +2.5%
15% -28.6% 50% -7.4%
20% -35.6% 0% -16.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.50 · official $2.50 (match) · 13 history records