trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +1.6% | -8.0% | 44% | 11% | -8.6% |
| ≤30d | 18 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 39% | 6% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 39% | 6% | -9.3% |
| all | 29 | -5.7% | -14.6% | 38% | 3% | -11.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.6% | 3% | -11.0% |
| 10% | -22.8% | 0% | -19.5% |
| 15% | -30.3% | 0% | -27.3% |
| 20% | -37.1% | 0% | -34.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 20 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | Jun 20 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 20 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 19 | $19 | +$3 | +14% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 19 | $27 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $43 | $0 | +1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $38 | +$2 | +6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 18 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 07 | $2 | $0 | -8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 07 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 06 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 05 | $38 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 04 | $58 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 03 | $36 | −$2 | -5% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 03 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 01 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Adrienne Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York C | Jun 26 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 24 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 2–9? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | Mar 22 | $5 | $0 | -9% |
| Albany vs. Vermont | Mar 04 | $17 | −$12 | -68% |
| Will Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw? | Mar 03 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Sharks vs. Sabres | Mar 03 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-04? | Mar 03 | $17 | $0 | -2% |
| Akron vs. Toledo | Mar 03 | $17 | $0 | +0% |