Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T16:32:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
EB 0xebe2…e4d2 sports 829 markets active 2h ago coverage 131d ⚠
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 131d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$19,626 (-23%) realized −$19,626 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate69%571W / 258L
Whale WR81%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$101per market
Trades / day20.2pace
Fees−$82est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 131d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 97% −$3,728
other 1% +$200
world 1% +$87
tech 0% +$19
politics 0% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +4.3% -5.6% 100% 8% -5.6%
≤30d 15 +5.0% -5.0% 100% 13% -5.3%
≤90d 256 -0.2% -9.7% 78% 29% -13.7%
all 829 -2.5% -11.8% 69% 27% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover20.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 27% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 18% -21.5%
15% -27.9% 15% -29.1%
20% -35.0% 12% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
61% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 81% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -4% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$17 vs −$52 · ×0.33 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.74 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

131d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$19,626
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses571 / 258
Whale WR (big bets)81%
Est. fees paid−$82
Open positions0
Markets (closed)829 / 829
History coverage131d ⚠
Avg bet$101
Trades / day20.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 829 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Jun 27 $194 +$6 +3%
ITF Brussels: Marvin Moeller vs Leo Deflandre Jun 24 $388 +$18 +5%
Targu Mures: Michele Ribecai vs Niels McDonald Jun 23 $263 +$3 +1%
Bad Homburg Open: Venus Williams vs Irina-Camelia Begu Jun 22 $60 +$3 +4%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Francesca Jones Jun 22 $98 +$2 +2%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Pol Martin Tiffo Jun 22 $184 +$16 +8%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Federico Coria vs Oliver Bonding Jun 22 $174 +$5 +3%
Plovdiv: Yanaki Milev vs Ognjen Milic Jun 22 $206 +$34 +16%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Dan Added Jun 22 $296 +$14 +5%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Stefanos Sakellaridis Jun 22 $200 +$2 +1%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nicolas Moreno De Alboran vs Harold Mayo Jun 22 $198 +$2 +1%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Clement Tabur Jun 22 $196 +$7 +4%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Stefano Napolitano vs Billy Harris Jun 22 $254 +$8 +3%
ITF Caserta: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Beatrice Ricci Jun 03 $20 $0 +1%
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $65 +$11 +17%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wu May 28 $91 +$9 +10%
Centurion: Philip Henning vs Luc Koenig May 28 $95 +$5 +5%
Centurion: Guillaume Dalmasso vs Robert Strombachs May 28 $95 +$5 +5%
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Chenting Zhu May 28 $197 +$3 +1%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Martha Matoula vs Anastasia Gasanova May 28 $130 −$130 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodar May 27 $197 +$3 +2%
Roland Garros ATP: Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovic May 27 $150 +$3 +2%
ITF Grado: Giovanni Oradini vs Jacopo Borsoi May 27 $144 +$6 +4%
Roland Garros WTA: Francesca Jones vs Marie Bouzkova May 27 $194 +$6 +3%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Kaitlin Quevedo May 27 $186 +$14 +7%
Roland Garros WTA: Sara Bejlek vs Iga Swiatek May 27 $39 +$1 +2%
ITF Tauste-Zaragoza: Jana Otzipka vs Eva Vedder May 27 $180 +$20 +11%
ITF Bol: Daria Gorska vs Giorgia Pedone May 27 $5 $0 +1%
ITF Bol: Noah Lopez Cherubino vs Zen David Uehling May 27 $83 +$17 +20%
ITF Wichita: Eryn Cayetano vs Maya Iyengar May 26 $91 +$9 +10%
Roland Garros ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo May 26 $94 +$6 +6%
Vicenza: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Joel Schwaerzler May 26 $97 +$3 +3%
Vicenza: Pietro Fellin vs Pol Martin Tiffon May 26 $92 +$8 +9%
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemot May 26 $92 +$8 +9%
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tien May 26 $92 +$8 +8%
Roland Garros WTA: Dalma Galfi vs Mayar Sherif May 26 $87 +$13 +14%
Vicenza: Jacopo Vasami vs Giorgio Tabacco May 26 $92 +$8 +8%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro May 26 $218 +$7 +3%
Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev May 26 $143 −$141 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin May 25 $97 +$3 +3%
Roland Garros WTA: Petra Marcinko vs Eva Lys May 25 $243 +$7 +3%
Roland Garros ATP: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Rafael Jodar May 25 $190 +$10 +5%
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Jurij Rodionov May 25 $95 +$3 +3%
Roland Garros ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Matteo Berrettini May 25 $175 +$25 +14%
ITF Kayseri: Alana Subasic vs Irem Kurt May 25 $92 +$5 +5%
Roland Garros WTA: Julia Grabher vs Rebecca Sramkova May 25 $186 +$14 +7%
Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Lehecka May 25 $95 +$5 +5%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Toby Samuel May 25 $363 +$20 +6%
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Dayana Yastremska May 25 $34 +$1 +2%
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Shevchenko vs Alex Michelsen May 25 $183 +$17 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina BUY Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 97¢ $194 1h
ITF Brussels: Marvin Moeller vs Leo Deflandre BUY Marvin Moeller 95¢ $190 3d
ITF Brussels: Marvin Moeller vs Leo Deflandre BUY Marvin Moeller 96¢ $115 3d
ITF Brussels: Marvin Moeller vs Leo Deflandre BUY Marvin Moeller 96¢ $48 3d
ITF Brussels: Marvin Moeller vs Leo Deflandre BUY Marvin Moeller 96¢ $35 3d
Targu Mures: Michele Ribecai vs Niels McDonald BUY Niels McDonald 99¢ $198 4d
Targu Mures: Michele Ribecai vs Niels McDonald BUY Niels McDonald 99¢ $65 4d
Bad Homburg Open: Venus Williams vs Irina-Camelia Begu BUY Irina-Camelia Begu 96¢ $36 5d
Bad Homburg Open: Venus Williams vs Irina-Camelia Begu BUY Irina-Camelia Begu 96¢ $24 5d
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Francesca Jones BUY Jelena Ostapenko 98¢ $98 5d
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Federico Coria vs Oliver Bonding BUY Federico Coria 97¢ $105 5d
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Federico Coria vs Oliver Bonding BUY Federico Coria 97¢ $69 5d
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Pol Martin Tiffo BUY Pol Martin Tiffon 92¢ $184 5d
Plovdiv: Yanaki Milev vs Ognjen Milic SELL Ognjen Milic 88¢ $8 5d
Plovdiv: Yanaki Milev vs Ognjen Milic SELL Ognjen Milic 92¢ $9 5d
Plovdiv: Yanaki Milev vs Ognjen Milic SELL Ognjen Milic 89¢ $18 5d
Plovdiv: Yanaki Milev vs Ognjen Milic SELL Ognjen Milic 88¢ $2 5d
Plovdiv: Yanaki Milev vs Ognjen Milic BUY Ognjen Milic 71¢ $36 5d
Plovdiv: Yanaki Milev vs Ognjen Milic SELL Ognjen Milic 87¢ $17 5d
Plovdiv: Yanaki Milev vs Ognjen Milic SELL Ognjen Milic 88¢ $18 5d
Plovdiv: Yanaki Milev vs Ognjen Milic SELL Ognjen Milic 86¢ $17 5d
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Dan Added BUY Pablo Llamas Ruiz 98¢ $53 5d
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Dan Added BUY Pablo Llamas Ruiz 98¢ $133 5d
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Dan Added BUY Pablo Llamas Ruiz 78¢ $16 5d
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Dan Added BUY Pablo Llamas Ruiz 94¢ $94 5d
Plovdiv: Yanaki Milev vs Ognjen Milic BUY Ognjen Milic 83¢ $42 5d
Plovdiv: Yanaki Milev vs Ognjen Milic BUY Ognjen Milic 83¢ $47 5d
Plovdiv: Yanaki Milev vs Ognjen Milic BUY Ognjen Milic 85¢ $48 5d
Plovdiv: Yanaki Milev vs Ognjen Milic BUY Ognjen Milic 86¢ $35 5d
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Stefanos Sakellaridis BUY Stefanos Sakellaridis 99¢ $2 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records