Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EB
0xebe2…c1fe
crypto · 72 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,402 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,472 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,472
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses34 / 38
Open positions0
Markets (closed)72 / 72
History coverage13d
Avg bet$113
Trades / day13.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 72 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,544
7 days−$1,442
14 days−$1,472
30 days−$1,472
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $67 +$6 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$79 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $207 +$143 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$61 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $230 −$230 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $823 −$823 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $270 −$270 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $146 −$146 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$26 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $104 +$67 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$64 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $207 +$22 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $101 +$69 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $98 +$103 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $207 +$41 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $207 −$68 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $145 +$101 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $444 −$444 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $818 +$82 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $806 −$34 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $83 −$56 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$19 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$5 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $226 +$42 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $227 +$103 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $104 +$31 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $413 +$212 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $43 +$19 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$44 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $83 −$83 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $46 +$24 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$92 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$93 +222%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $156 +$238 +152%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,472
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $73 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $67 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $349 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $165 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $129 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $170 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $39 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $104 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $229 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $104 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $104 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $170 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $98 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $105 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $104 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $248 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $104 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $104 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $44 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $103 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $95 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-25.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -17.1% -25.0% 47% 42% -25.7%
≤30d 72 -17.6% -25.4% 47% 42% -25.9%
≤90d 72 -17.6% -25.4% 47% 42% -25.9%
all 72 -17.6% -25.4% 47% 42% -25.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.4% 42% -25.9%
10% -32.5% 35% -33.0%
15% -39.1% 31% -39.4%
20% -45.0% 26% -45.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 303 history records