trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 1 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 0% | 0% | -10.9% |
| all | 6 | -53.5% | -57.9% | 0% | 0% | -26.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -57.9% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 10% | -61.9% | 0% | -33.2% |
| 15% | -65.6% | 0% | -39.6% |
| 20% | -69.0% | 0% | -45.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 9¢ | $1,400 | $1,388 | −$12 (-1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $1,055 | $1,068 | +$13 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 15 | $880 | −$14 | -2% |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026? | Feb 10 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 26 | Jan 26 | $4,916 | −$1,157 | -24% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 26 | Jan 25 | $800 | −$140 | -17% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 26 | Jan 25 | $2,302 | −$40 | -2% |
| AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan | Jan 24 | $600 | −$600 | -100% |