Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:41:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec08…db10
crypto · 1693 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3,384 +117%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,062 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$1,062
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses352 / 1670
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2022 / 1693
History coverage116d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day28.5
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 2022 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$149
7 days−$145
14 days−$113
30 days−$109
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 37¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+165%)
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - November 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - November 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - November 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - November 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 8PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - November 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - November 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - November 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - November 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 8PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - November 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - November 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - November 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - November 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - November 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - November 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - November 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - November 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$1,185
weather 2% +$39
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-33.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 483 -74.9% -77.3% 14% 12% -35.1%
≤30d 534 -61.8% -65.5% 16% 14% -26.3%
≤90d 1078 -37.5% -43.5% 20% 17% -22.5%
all 2022 -26.0% -33.0% 17% 16% +11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.0% 16% +11.4%
10% ← realistic here -39.5% 14% +0.7%
15% -45.3% 12% -9.0%
20% -50.7% 11% -17.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.99 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records