Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:36:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EC
0xec09…94f0
crypto · 37 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$289 +26%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$213 · open +$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$63
Realized+$213
Unrealized+$13
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses18 / 18
Open positions1
Markets (closed)36 / 37
History coverage1d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day70.0
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$213
7 days+$213
14 days+$213
30 days+$213
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 54¢ 68¢ $50 $63 +$13 (+27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$29 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$87 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $62 +$43 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $128 −$128 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $62 +$61 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $82 +$62 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $62 +$82 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$38 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$40 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$21 +398%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$49 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$18 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$17 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$24 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$10 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$5 -20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$226
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $52 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $21 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $21 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $51 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $52 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $21 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $21 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $21 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $21 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $21 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-5.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +4.7% -5.3% 50% 47% +8.8%
≤30d 36 +4.7% -5.3% 50% 47% +8.8%
≤90d 36 +4.7% -5.3% 50% 47% +8.8%
all 36 +4.7% -5.3% 50% 47% +8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.3% 47% +8.8%
10% ← realistic here -14.4% 44% -1.6%
15% -22.6% 42% -11.1%
20% -30.2% 42% -19.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $63.43 · official $63.43 (match) · 113 history records